What I try to live by

What I believe currently

• Learning rate is a higher quality signal than experience.
• The biggest things are created by repeated small actions.
• Simple, but effective beats clever.
• Substance and skill over prestige and credentials.
• Deep reading and writing are new-age skills.
• It’s all just a matter of perspective.

My predictions

What I think will happen, written down so I can check back. Made in October 2026.

• Robot hands and actuators, not models, will be what holds physical intelligence back.
• The best robot models will come from teams that build their own hardware, because the body shapes what can be learned.
• Brain–computer interfaces will be a routine treatment for paralysis within ten years.
• The scarce skill won’t be building with AI but checking its work: knowing when a result is wrong.
• As AI writes more, people who can read deeply and sit with one hard problem will become rare and valuable.

Outdated

Things I used to believe, and what changed my mind.

• Top-tier raw intelligence is needed to be successful. What changed my mind: seeing people who learned fast and kept at it outpace people who started smarter.